Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.001356 0.001443 0.001532 0.001631 0.001738 0.001850 0.001976
2024-10-27 0.001232 0.001351 0.001478 0.001624 0.001788 0.001965 0.002174
2024-11-03 0.001109 0.001245 0.001393 0.001569 0.001772 0.001999 0.002274
2024-11-10 0.001052 0.001205 0.001376 0.001583 0.001828 0.002111 0.002463
2024-11-17 0.000989 0.001152 0.001338 0.001568 0.001846 0.002175 0.002595
2024-11-24 0.000952 0.001125 0.001327 0.001582 0.001897 0.002277 0.002775
2024-12-01 0.000897 0.001075 0.001285 0.001554 0.001894 0.002311 0.002868
2024-12-08 0.000856 0.001037 0.001255 0.001540 0.001904 0.002360 0.002981
2024-12-15 0.000820 0.001005 0.001231 0.001529 0.001917 0.002411 0.003097
2024-12-22 0.000792 0.000982 0.001215 0.001528 0.001942 0.002477 0.003234
2024-12-29 0.000761 0.000952 0.001191 0.001514 0.001948 0.002518 0.003338
2025-01-05 0.000737 0.000931 0.001175 0.001511 0.001967 0.002576 0.003466
2025-01-12 0.000700 0.000892 0.001138 0.001480 0.001953 0.002593 0.003546
2025-01-19 0.000675 0.000869 0.001120 0.001476 0.001973 0.002658 0.003698
2025-01-26 0.000635 0.000824 0.001073 0.001427 0.001930 0.002632 0.003715
2025-02-02 0.000620 0.000813 0.001069 0.001440 0.001973 0.002730 0.003921
2025-02-09 0.000598 0.000790 0.001049 0.001427 0.001978 0.002773 0.004043
2025-02-16 0.000585 0.000781 0.001046 0.001439 0.002020 0.002872 0.004257
2025-02-23 0.000561 0.000755 0.001019 0.001415 0.002007 0.002885 0.004336
2025-03-02 0.000543 0.000735 0.001000 0.001402 0.002009 0.002923 0.004456
2025-03-09 0.000526 0.000718 0.000984 0.001392 0.002016 0.002967 0.004587
2025-03-16 0.000513 0.000705 0.000975 0.001391 0.002037 0.003033 0.004757
2025-03-23 0.000498 0.000688 0.000958 0.001379 0.002038 0.003068 0.004877